Showing posts with label ROI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ROI. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 4, 2018

Adaptive Dynamic Learning Predicts Massive Market Bottom

Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has been hard at work trying to identify if this recent downside price move is more concerning or just a rotational move. The recent global news regarding the US/China trade tariffs as well as the fallout that started nearly two weeks ago in Technology with Facebook, Snap and others has spooked the markets. Our additional research shows that China and Asia are extremely fragile at the moment and the global Central Bankers as well as the Real Estate market could be key to any future unraveling of the markets.

Yet, at this time we believe our predictive modeling systems and analytical systems are indicating a strong market recovery is just days away. As we have discussed earlier, capital is constantly searching for the safest and most reliable ROI throughout the planet at all times. We believe the current market environment will show signs that stronger, more established economies will continue to benefit from capital migration as a result of this new wave of uncertainty plays out. The US DGP growth rate over the past 2 years has been exceptional – increasing over 200% from 2015-2016 averages of 1.48%



As you might have read from our China/Asia Implosion research, there are many factors at work currently in the markets and the one thing that is a constant is consumer and debt cycles. Additionally, we have been relying on our cycle analysis, Adaptive Fibonacci modeling system and our incredible Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system (ADL), for much of our analysis throughout the end of 2017 and early 2018. Today, we are going to share what we believe to be one of the most amazing analytical calls of this year – a potentially massive rally in the US markets.

First, our Weekly Fibonacci modeling system is still showing strong bullish signs while indicating recent price rotation is below bearish trigger levels. Because of this last component, we are still concerned that unknown factors could derail any price recovery that our advanced modeling systems are predicting. Yet, we believe the core elements of Capital Migration and the fact that capital will chase the greatest ROI and safest environment for future liquidity and growth indicate that the US markets are the only game in town. The newly established price channel can be clearly seen in the chart below.


As we consider the fragility of the global markets as well as the potential that foreign and domestic capital will likely be migrating into the US Equity markets in an attempt to maintain ROI and liquidity that is simply unattainable in other global markets. Risks are starting to stack up in many foreign markets with Brexit, debt issues, cycle rotations and other issues. Yet, the US markets have recently been unleashed in terms of growth expectations and regulations.

This S&P Daily chart showing our ADL predictive price modeling system is clearly showing the price anomaly that is currently setting up. Prices are been pushed much lower – below our price expectations shown as DASHES on the chart. Yet we need to pay attention to the dramatic price reversal setting up to the upside. Without our ADL price modeling system and the ability to identify these types of setups, we would have little knowledge that this type of dramatic price increase is about to hit the US markets.


Additionally, when we compare the ES chart (above) to this NQ chart (below), we can see another price anomaly that is setting up in the US markets. These types of price anomalies are quite unique in the sense that they represent a price disconnect that usually results in a violent and dramatic price reconnect. In other words, when these types of price anomalies happen, price is driven outside normal boundaries of operation for periods of time, then it recovers to near the projected price levels – just like it did in early February 2018 with a dramatic downside price correction.


Lastly, this SPY chart below is confirming all of our price analysis with a very clear picture of the price anomaly that is currently setting up. External news factors have driven the current price to well below the expected ADL levels and setup what may turn out to become a Double Bottom in the process. Yet, the most critical part of all of this is the potential of a massive 10% or greater price rally over the next 3 to 10 days.



Many people simply don’t believe our ADL system can be this accurate, yet we urge readers to visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to review our research articles from late 2017 and early 2018 to see for yourself how well it has worked out so far. You don’t want to miss this move and what follows. This move will be a huge opportunity as our analysis is showing the potential for 8 to 12+% price advances over the next 30 to 60 days.

We are writing this message to alert all of our members and followers that we are uniquely positioned to take advantage of this move while others are preparing for the potential price decline that is evident by move traditional technical analysis modeling system. If you want to learn how to stay ahead of these moves and profit from this type of adaptive predictive price modeling, then please visit our website to learn more about our stock and ETF service for active traders and investors.

Our articles, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.




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Tuesday, June 9, 2015

Time to Move Capital into Next Bull Market – Part I

Our trading partner Chris Vermeulen just shared with us his take on what most traders are missing when it comes to market rotation. It's a great reminder of what so many of us did so wrong not to long ago. Let's play this different this time.

If you remember the dot com bubble as clearly as I do and are a technical analyst then you will recall the month which the NASDAQ broke down and confirmed a new bear market has started. The date was November of 2000.

You may be wondering why I bring this up. What do tech stocks have to do with commodities?

Good question because they have nothing in common. But the key here is that when a bull market ends in one asset class that money is shifted into another. That money moved into commodities and resource stocks and in a big way. Precious metals and miners exploded, surging an average of 1000% return (10 times ROI) over the next six years, topping out in 2008. In fact, these resource stocks bottom the exact month which the NASDAQ confirmed it was in a bear market on Nov 2000.

Compare Dot-Com Bubble & Burst to Precious Metals Stocks 

Over the next couple of weeks, I will be sharing some of my top stock picks in the metals sector (gold, silver, nickel, and copper). If you missed the 2001 and 2008 metals bull market then you best pay attention and be sure you don’t miss what is about to happen.

Read Chris' entire post and chart work here > Time to Move Capital into Next Bull Market – Part I



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Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Chris' New Video Reveals Why 2015 is Going to be Big

The S&P 500 stock market has been under heavy rotation since mid 2014. Rotation in the stock market is when the trend sharply changes direction from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. Depending how the price moves during these rotations this algorithmic trading system which Chris Vermeulen runs can generate large profits if the price action is favorable for the trading algorithm.

Unfortunately the second half of 2014 the stock market rotation moved in a way that was very difficult for the trading algorithm to generate trades but no trades are better than losing trades so its not the end of the world. But what Chris wants to show you in this video is how the current price action we have experienced since mid-2014 till now is the same price action and has similar characteristics that we saw in 2010 and again in 2011.

2015 is going to be a stellar year for his trading system!

This price pattern has led to substantial rallies in the stock market of 20% to 35% gains over a six-month period and its looks like it may happen again.

Chris' AlgoTrades algorithmic trading system does struggles during these rotational periods but so do CTA's and other money managers. There is not doubt that it has been hard to profit with the swings in the market because of the way they happened. When this phase of the market completes and a new trend emerges the trading algorithm will excel and pull substantial gains out of the stock market on autopilot just like it did in the first half of 2014.

Both times the stock market has formed these formations the algorithmic trading system pulled 64% ROI in 2010 and pulled 78% ROI 2012. 


Watch the video to learn more.....

Algorithmic Trading System


Visit Chris Vermeulen's Website to Learn more Algo Trades


Sincerely,
Ray C. Parrish
The Crude Oil Trader


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Stock & ETF Trading Signals